Nintendo has made its projection for the Switch 2 launch sales numbers public, and while analysts are suggesting the console maker’s erred on the “conservative” side, it’s still expecting its latest hardware to bag some impressive numbers. Though, its president has said that the price of the console could potentially still rise, depending on how the whole US tariff situation plays out.

The sales estimate comes as part of Ninty’s forecast for the coming fiscal year, which is set to conclude in March 2026. How well does it think the Switch 2 will do? Well, 15 million units sold during the launch window is the number it’s touting.

That – along with 45 million games sold – is the bar Ninty set itself for this first year. The 15 million units sold figure would mean the Switch 2 outdoing the original Switch, which sold 14.87m units during its debut year.

Though, while these numbers might look big to the untrained eye, plenty of analysts think Nintendo’s being a bit cautious with its estimates due to the US tariff uncertainty that’s in the mix. “Conservative forecast from Nintendo here,” tweeted Niko Partners analyst Daniel Ahmad, “Likely factoring in unpredictability around tariffs, pricing and production despite the positive pre-order momentum.

“For reference, our forecast was 14.5 million units by the end of December 2025, and that was already considered conservative by most of the industry. For what it’s worth, I do think Nintendo will raise its forecast if (big if) the tariff situation is reversed. However, main issue right now is knock on effects that are already in motion and creating a difficult environment for a console launch.”

Speaking of those pesky tariffs, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa hasn’t ruled out the possibility of them potentially leading to a Switch 2 price rise, depending on how things play out, according to report from Yahoo News translated by Genki.

“At this time, the top priority is to quickly popularize the Switch 2 hardware,” the exec said, “If the assumptions regarding tariffs change significantly, we would like to consider what price adjustments we should make and implement them after considering various factors.”

Damn, given fans have already called on Ninty to “DROP THE PRICE”, one can only imagine how ballistic things will go if the tariffs are deemed to necessitate a price change. How are you feeling about getting hold of a Switch 2 right now? Let us know below.

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A judge in Nevada has granted the state’s gambling regulator a preliminary injunction against Polymarket. It is another victory for the state, which has been the most successful at fighting against prediction markets offering sports contracts. 

Polymarket was forced to restrict users in Nevada in February after Judge Jason D. Woodbury granted a temporary restraining order against the company. 

Judge Woodbury upheld that decision and granted the Nevada Gaming Control Board’s (NGCB) motion for a preliminary injunction against Polymarket. 

“We are very pleased with Judge Woodbury’s ruling and will continue to vigorously enforce Nevada law to safeguard gaming in our state,” stated NGCB Chairman Mike Dreitzer in a press release. 

Other Platforms Also Banned In Nevada

In addition to Polymarket, Nevada has successfully blocked Coinbase, Kalshi, and Crypto.com from offering sports event contracts in the state. 

The NGCB stressed that “the gaming industry is vitally important to the economy of the state and the general welfare of the inhabitants and therefore must be licensed, controlled, and assisted to protect the public health, safety, morals, good order, and general welfare of the inhabitants of the state.”

While Nevada is a huge market for casinos, it is a relatively small market for online gambling platforms. In order to wager online, Nevada residents must first register at a physical casino. 

Losing access to Nevada residents is not overly damaging to Polymarket, but the ruling will almost certainly be used against the company in other legal battles in other states. As a fully licensed platform in the US, Kalshi has generally been the target of state regulators, but since its relaunch in the country, Polymarket has also been facing legal challenges. 

The company is involved in ongoing litigation in Wisconsin, Michigan, Massachusetts, New York, and Rhode Island. But in all other states, users can access the platform, which offers a wide range of sports markets, including all major esports events. 

Casinos and Prediction Markets Continue To Do Battle

Prediction markets are seen as a threat to the casino industry, and major operators have refrained from entering the emerging market. 

Caesars and MGM, two of the leading casino companies in Vegas, offer online betting, but have said they have no intention of entering into prediction markets. 

Nevada warned licensed gambling companies that if they do business with prediction markets, then they risk losing their licenses. This led to DraftKings and FanDuel deciding to withdraw from the state. 

Lobbying on both sides has intensified recently, and Kalshi blamed casino-backed groups for an advertising campaign targeting the company. 

In response to the original ruling in Nevada in February, Polymarket said it would challenge the decision. A company spokesperson added: “We’re committed to seeing this through and to reopening access as soon as we’re allowed to do so.”

In addition to Nevada, Spain and Indonesia both blocked the platform last week. It is restricted in over 33 countries worldwide.

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